[Oral Presentation]A Multi-Scale TCN with Gated Cross-modal Fusion Approach for Integrated Energy System Load Forecasting

A Multi-Scale TCN with Gated Cross-modal Fusion Approach for Integrated Energy System Load Forecasting
ID:109 Submission ID:114 View Protection:ATTENDEE Updated Time:2025-11-03 11:48:19 Hits:118 Oral Presentation

Start Time:2025-11-09 10:50 (Asia/Shanghai)

Duration:15min

Session:[S5] 5.AI-driven technology » [S5] 5.AI-driven technology

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Abstract
Integrated Energy Systems (IES), which jointly manage electricity, heating, and cooling within a unified framework, are critical for achieving energy sustainability and operational flexibility. Accurate load forecasting in IES is essential for optimal scheduling, demand-side management, and resilience enhancement. However, the heterogeneous temporal dynamics and complex cross-modal interactions among energy carriers pose significant modeling challenges. In this paper, we propose a novel deep learning architecture named Multi-Scale Temporal Convolutional Network with Gated Cross-modal Fusion (MTCN-GCF) for multi-energy load forecasting. The model incorporates a multi-scale TCN encoder to capture fine-to-coarse temporal patterns, a gated fusion mechanism to selectively integrate complementary information across energy forms, and a multi-head channel attention module to enhance feature representation. Experiments conducted on real-world campus-level data from Arizona State University’s Tempe campus demonstrate that MTCN-GCF consistently outperforms baseline models such as standard TCN and LSTM across electricity, cold, and heat load forecasting tasks, achieving significant improvements in MAE, RMSE, MAPE, and R² metrics. These results confirm the effectiveness of multi-scale and cross-modal modeling strategies in enhancing the accuracy and robustness of IES load forecasting.
Keywords
Integrated energy system; Deep learning; Multi-Scale temporal convolutional network.
Speaker
Kongyun Chen
Kunming University of Science and Technology

Submission Author
Jian Wang Kunming University of Science and Technology
Jiajin Yuan Kunming University of Science and Technology
Kongyun Chen Kunming University of Science and Technology
Jieshan Shan Kunming University of Science and Technology
Hongchun Shu Kunming University of Science and Technology
Yiming Han Kunming University of Science and Technology
Huiyuan Nie Yalong River Hdropower Development Company, Ltd.
Xiangyu Tang Yalong River Hdropower Development Company, Ltd.
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